Alabama State
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 91.7694Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 6- 3 214 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 13- 0 214 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 7-14 218 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 1-18 304 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 4- 5 317 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2-11 324 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7- 4 331 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 2-14 408 A North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 7- 4 414 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0-13 520 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 9, 87.5) 10- 0 522 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 8- 7 523 H Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 8- 5 524 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 7- 5, 90.7) 8- 6 529 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 3-21 530 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 7- 8 530 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Eastern Kentucky 6- 3 3 1 1.77
214 H Eastern Kentucky 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.77
214 H Eastern Kentucky 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.23
218 H Ole Miss 1-18 -17 -5 --- -8.78
304 A North Alabama 4- 5 -1 -2 1.31
317 H Troy 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.22
324 A Georgia State 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.54
331 A Troy 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.87
408 A North Dakota State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.76
414 A Auburn 0-13 -13 -8 -- -5.22
520 H Grambling 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.05
522 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 8- 7 1 0 0.96
523 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 8- 5 3 0 + 2.96
524 A Florida A&M 8- 6 2 0 1.61
529 A Alabama 3-21 -18 -6 --- -8.01
530 H Oklahoma State 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.80
530 H Oklahoma State 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Eastern Kentucky 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.23 218 H Ole Miss 1-18 -17 -5 --- -8.78 331 A Troy 2-14 -12 -5 --- -6.87 529 A Alabama 3-21 -18 -6 --- -8.01 317 H Troy 2-11 -9 -4 -- -5.22 414 A Auburn 0-13 -13 -8 -- -5.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Eastern Kentucky 13- 0 13 1 +++ 11.77 324 A Georgia State 7- 4 3 -3 ++ 5.54 520 H Grambling 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.05 408 A North Dakota State 7- 4 3 -1 + 3.76 523 H Arkansas Pine Bluff 8- 5 3 0 + 2.96 530 H Oklahoma State 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.80 530 H Oklahoma State 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.80 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 6- 3 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 1.70 30.84
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 13- 0 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 1.70 30.84
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 7-14 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 1.70 -7.96
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 1-18 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 1.70 -2.47
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 4- 5 -6.50 11.93 0.68 1.70 -4.95
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2-11 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 1.70 -3.70
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7- 4 -6.26 12.16 0.68 1.70 43.69
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 2-14 -3.68 14.75 0.68 1.70 -2.55
3 A North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 7- 4 -8.04 10.38 0.68 1.70 37.63
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 0-13 -1.03 17.40 0.68 1.70 -0.30
3 H Grambling ( 0- 9, 87.5) 10- 0 -12.40 6.02 -0.68 1.70 18.19
3 H Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 8- 7 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 1.70 34.90
3 H Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 8- 5 -7.49 10.93 -0.68 1.70 34.90
3 A Florida A&M ( 7- 5, 90.7) 8- 6 -9.20 9.23 0.68 1.70 33.69
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 3-21 -2.82 15.61 0.68 1.70 -1.82
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 7- 8 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 1.70 -2.83
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 7- 8 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 1.70 -2.83
------
235.25
|
winning pts = 264.6818 losing points = -29.4326
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------